On August 22, 2022, I was able to record a flood along Shoal Creek in real-time starting at 5:05PM by Lake Ladybird and then up to the W 10th St bridge by 6:18PM.
The findings show how it's odd that a 15.94' flood doesn't overtop small bridges as Shoal Creek narrows South of the W 12th St bridge to 4th St.
This video follows an urban flood upstream and manages to record the times and evidence of the current's peak height and discharge!
The action starts right out the gate by showing Austin's most iconic trail being taken out by floodwater 15 minutes before water levels were recorded at their highest.




The USGS data shows that a water level above 15' feet flowed from the 12th St bridge for approximately 45 minutes between 5:00PM-5:45PM.



Pictured inset: West Ave bridge in Austin, Texas.



Local Austin, Texas KXAN weather reporter at the W 4th St bridge at 5:34PM on August 22, 2022.


Worthy of note is that the speed of the water flow up to the West Ave bridge is much slower than past the West Ave bridge, where Shoal Creek makes a sharp turn South at 4th St.

What is interesting about this guardrailing is that it is intact and free of debris and organic matter at the peak time of intense flooding, but was observed to be unmoored the following day on August 23, 2022. SEE BELOW:





South side of the W 5th St bridge at approximately 5:45PM.

North side of W 5th St bridge at approximately 5:50PM on August 22, 2022.

The purpose of posting the USGS data recorded at the W 12th St bridge is to indicate that where I was standing should have ostensibly been submerged in water, but wasn't. 14.85' of water moving South along a progressively narrowing creek to then pass under an 8' bridge can be reasonably considered perplexing to an individual who is clueless to the science of hydrology, or any science, really. It may alos be perplexing to an accredited hydrologist; a goal of this website is to verify as much.

Pictured inset: W 6th St bridge in Austin, Texas.






Potentially worthy of note is that the 6th St bridge has at least one (1) storm drain connected to it. Such a drain could add to the volume of water or, perhaps, just add to street-level flooding during intense rain and creek flows.






Possibly like the apartment complex near 8th St, perhaps North Lamar Blvd getting flooded in major events prevents overtopping downstream?
If so, why do water heights of 12-13 ft that don't spill out to North Lamar Blvd or the apartment complex come to overtop shorter bridges at narrower passages?





Hazardous events draw attention.
Surprisingly, Shoal Creek is a topic of interest beyond some random guy with a flip phone and an inquisitive personality.
There must be mechanisms at play to account for how dangerous and fast moving water doesn't overtop bridges.
In this summation, the best guesses are provided.
The USGS gage at the W 12th St bridge routinely records water levels with dangerous height and intense discharge rates.
10' water flow at the W 12 St bridge is red marked by the USGS as a dangerous height.
Between 2015-2025, twenty-two (22) waterflows have measured in excess of 10' by the USGS gage at W 12th St. This is significant because the W 12 St bridge has much more room to accommodate waterflow at the point where the USGS gage measures.
Simply put, a 12' waterflow at W 12th St can be much higher once it heads South and has to squeeze through a narrowing creek and narrower, shorter bridges. The squeeze can cause backwater which, at 12'-16' water heights, should result in overtopping of short and narrow bridges.
The likely explanation, which is opinion that lacks any credibility or sophistication, is that when water can escape Shoal Creek out onto North Lamar Blvd or into parking lots near 8th St, water height and volume is lost to allow for current to pass through relatively small bridges.
What would seem to conflict with this explanation is the many high water events that do not spill onto North Lamar Blvd, or elsewhere, but which which still manage to not overtop bridges.
It is hoped that a hydrologist can explain the ways in which high level water that does, or does not, overflow Shoal Creek by the Shoal Creek Saloon or near 8th St - doesn't overtop the W 10th, W 9th, W6th, W5th and West Ave bridges.
Attempts to view data and/or models through portals such as TxGIO DataHub:
https://data.tnris.org/ have been unsuccessful at yielding insightful information.
Gradually more intense flooding along Shoal Creek could be reasonably attributed to climate change. The likely culprit, however, could be an increase in land development and population.
As more land is developed to accommodate Austin's rapid growth, the less natural ground there is to absorb rainfall, which equates to higher runoff and higher water flows along Shoal Creek during storms.
Austin’s urban planners and engineers should contemplate this possibility.
It would be interesting to hear a hydrologist's thoughts and/or relaying of facts on this.
Finally, consideration may need to be given to assess the creek bed areas immediately around, and under, the W 6th St and W 5th St bridges. The heavily congested areas could potentially block large objects flowing through the bridges during flooding, which could cause damage and overtopping. Dredging may be required.
Disclaimer: All measurements on this website are approximate.
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